Service Plays Saturday 5/1/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

<!-- / icon and title --> <!-- message --> New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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[ugk]

NBA NEWS AND NOTES
GAME OF THE DAY
Celtics At Cavaliers Betting Preview
By Sean Murphy

Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers (-7.5, 191.5)

Rivalry Renewed

This is the second round series that everyone wanted to see because there’s no love lost between the Celtics and Cavaliers.
“We know that in order for each team to reach their goal - to win a championship - they’ve got to go through one of us,” said Celtics center Kendrick Perkins. “So a lot of noise talking when we play, a lot of guys don’t like each other.’’
To drive that point home, nine technical fouls were handed out in their four regular season matchups this year. Obviously the intensity level is going to be even higher in this series.
They last met in the playoffs two years ago. The Celtics were the heavily favored team that time around, but needed seven games to oust the Cavs. They went on to win the NBA title.
The home team won every game in that series, and the Cavs went 6-1 ATS.
Since then, they’ve split eight regular season meetings, with the outright winner also cashing ATS in seven of those eight games. The Cavs hold a slim 5-3 ATS edge over that span.

Elbow Room

Lebron James’ ailing elbow is the biggest storyline entering this series.
He suffered an elbow strain and bone bruise in the Cavs series-clinching win over the Bulls on Tuesday.
The minor injury won’t keep James out of the lineup in Game 1, but could hamper his shooting ability.
James practiced on Thursday, but wasn’t involved in any full contact drills. He took most of his shots with his left hand so it’s obvious that he’s not close to full strength right now.
"If I am limited during the game, then I'll be smart about it," James said. "That's what I was able to do in Game 5 against the Bulls. I was very limited in shooting long-range shots, so I started going to the hole in the fourth quarter."
The Celtics aren’t buying it.
Head coach Doc Rivers told ESPN.com, "I'll tell you what, if he goes three or four games and shoots left-handed only, then I'll believe he's hurt. Other than that, we'll be ready for the LeBron we've seen all playoffs."

Happy Dogs

The Boston Celtics don’t mind being underdogs this time around.
They’re listed as nearly 4-1 dogs to win this series at most sportsbooks.
It’s a situation Paul Pierce feels most comfortable in.
He had this to say to the Boston Globe on Thursday, “I feel like that’s how it’s been for me individually. My whole career, I definitely thrive in being in that situation, just like I think a lot of people in here thrive being in that situation.”
Pierce added, “We’ll see how it turns out. It’s no pressure on us."
The Celtics are an even 10-10-2 ATS in 22 games in the underdog role this season. They won outright as 5-point dogs in Cleveland on the opening night of the regular season, but weren’t so fortunate on their next trip, dropping a 104-93 decision at Quicken Loans Arena in mid-March.

The X-Factor

The play of Shaquille O’Neal might be the key to Cavs success in this series.
He had an up and down opening round against the Bulls, but stepped up when it counted, in Tuesday’s series-clinching win. Shaq scored 14 points to go along with eight rebounds, three assists and a block in 26 minutes of action.
O’Neal obviously felt good after that well-rounded performance, "I just wanted to be more aggressive and take my time and really go up strong. Hands are feeling good. Thumbs are pretty good."
Head coach Mike Brown added, "He was a big-time presence for us, not only offensively but defensively, too. I thought his ability to not necessarily score all the time, even though he was 7-for-9 from the floor, but to get us in the bonus.”
If he’s going to continue to log a lot of minutes, the Cavs are going to need production from him at both ends of the floor against the Celtics.

Line Moves

The early money was on the Cavs, bumping them from 7 to 7.5-point favorites.
But most consensus reports now indicate that the Celtics are getting plenty of love from the betting public. That money could force the line back to 7 prior to tip-off on Saturday.
The total has held steady since opening at 191.5 at most offshore books.

 

[ugk]

PICK 'N' ROLL

Saturday's Best NBA Bet

Boston Celtics at Cleveland Cavaliers (-7, 191)

Hopefully LeBron James’ mother won’t need to be restrained again in a playoff game between the Celtics and Cavs, but it will undoubtedly be an emotional series.
During the regular season, these teams met four times (split 2-2 SU and ATS) and there were nine technical fouls called.
“Composure is the biggest thing,’’ Ray Allen said. “We have to understand what being tough really is and try to outlast them so we’ve got to keep our composure and we’ve got to have great resiliency.’’
“You’ve got to expect some tempers to probably flare, a physical series, just two heavyweights going at it for one thing and that’s to advance and go to the next round,” Paul Pierce added.
All four games during the regular season went over the posted total and only one was set lower than the 191 offered for Saturday.
With emotions running high there should be an abundance of fouls called which will in turn slow the game down from a clock standpoint. And in most cases, more time equates to more points.

Pick: Over

 

[ugk]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Capping The Calender
By Marc Lawrence

May's Best/Worst MLB Pitchers

The running of the Kentucky Derby each year means MLB enters its second month of play. And with it a handful of surprise teams take center stage.
The key to sustaining will be success, or lack of it, from the pitching staffs. Let’s zero in on pitchers that will look to keep their team in the race and those that may pull up before they hit the wire.
Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts during the month of May over last three seasons. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in May team starts, winning 33 percent or less of their efforts.
To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts with at least one start each May over the last three years.

May’s Best Pitchers:

Josh Beckett (Boston Red Sox) - 12-3
Fausto Carmona (Cleveland Indians) - 10-5
Cole Hamels (Philadelphia Phillies) - 14-3
Scott Kazmir (Los Angeles Angels) - 10-5
Ted Lilly (Chicago Cubs) - 12-6
Diasuke Matsusaka (Boston Red Sox) - 9-4
Vicente Padilla (Los Angeles Dodgers) - 11-4
Oliver Perez (New York Mets) - 8-4
Johan Santana (New York Mets) - 11-4
Todd Wellemeyer (San Francisco Giants) - 9-4

May’s Bad Pitchers:

Doug Davis (Milwaukee Brewers) - 4-10
Kyle Lohse (St. Louis Cardinals) - 5-11
Gil Meche (Kansas City Royals) - 6-12
Carlos Silva (Chicago Cubs) 3-10

 

[ugk]

HOT LINES

Saturday's Best MLB Bets

Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs (-105, OTB)

Why an ace pitcher like Dan Haren continues to be undervalued by oddsmakers is perplexing.
He hasn’t been completely lights out this season, but coming off an impressive 8.0-inning, 10-strikeout win at Colorado one would expect him to be more than a slight favorite at Wrigley?
The Snakes lead the NL in runs scored and have plated at least five baserunners in all but one of Haren’s four starts this season.
Arizona is also tops in the majors with 33 home runs and in the first two games of this series the team has 18 total runs.
Opposing Haren on Saturday will be the Cubs No. 4 starter, Carlos Silva. The overpaid Silva has been surprisingly effective this year (2-0, 1.73 ERA) but all good things must come to an end.
You’re not going to find a better price than this with an ace facing a former reliever.

Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks


Oakland Athletics at Toronto Blue Jays (-130, 9)

The A’s lineup should have an edge Saturday when facing one of its old teammates.
Dana Eveland will be on the bump for Toronto after spending the last two seasons in Oakland. Eveland was cruising after three starts this season but then got rocked by the BoSox for seven earned in 3.0 innings Monday.
"He's a guy that, I guess a few years back had a good year in Oakland, and then kind of got off the track a little bit," Blue Jays manager Cito Gaston said.
In 2008, Eveland started out with a 3-1 record and a 2.48 ERA. He finished that season 9-9 with an ERA around 4.50. Last year he finished the season in the minors.
Eveland’s 2-0 “hot” start this season may be showing signs of cooling after his last outing. And against a lineup and coaching staff that knows his repertoire all too well, the A’s should be able to touch him up enough for the win.

Pick: Oakland Athletics

 

[ugk]

NHL NEWS AND NOTES
THE BUCK STOPS HERE
Who’s The Best Playoff Goalie Left?
By Ryan Stetson

Goaltending

Goaltending is a strange art. It takes a different sort of guy to willingly jump into the middle of an NHL shooting gallery. Plus there’s the pressure and the physical beating they take to get their teams through an 82-game schedule just to get to the second season.

At this point, only the strongest survive, so it’s not surprising to see even some of the better teams in the league (hello, Washington?) struggle to find the right guy for the job. Sometimes though, a young buck catches lightning in a bottle between the pipes and carries the water for his mates. Those are the guys you have to target when you’re betting puck down the stretch.

Worth Their Weight In Gold

You’ll have to pay to have these guys backing your wager, but it’s well worth it. They’ve been in the pressure cooker and know how to come out on top.

Roberto Luongo (Vancouver Canucks) – No matter who you are, if you’re acting as a team’s captain, you open yourself up for a lot of criticism – especially if you’re the only captain in the league wearing goalie pads. Sure, Luongo has some off nights, but that happens to every goaltender. He has the size, skill, and anticipation to single-handedly steal not only games, but entire series. And this time, you know he’s playing with the fear of being embarrassed like he was in Game 7 against these very same Blackhawks last year. That’ll fuel his fire after he showed the world what he could do at the Olympics.

Marc-Andre Fleury (Pittsburgh Penguins) – One of the great things about Fleury is that sometimes you can watch him play a full 60 minutes and barely recognize him. Of course, it wasn’t always this way what with some huge collapses on his early resume. But now, he often glides easy under the radar that’s honed in on Crosby, Malkin and Gonchar. Fleury’s learned this poise through experience and hard knocks.

Shades Of St. Patrick?

This year’s playoffs is full of young guns between the pipes looking to make a name for themselves. They don’t have the experience, but they don’t have the hefty price tag either.

Jaroslav Halak (Montreal Canadiens) – Was that Patrick Roy or Jaroslav Halak ousting the top-seeded Caps in the first round? It’s been a difficult year for both Halak and Carey Price at times, but Halak is now firmly cemented as the team’s savior. He’ll be in tough to get his Habs past the Penguins, but don’t be surprised if he steals a couple from Pittsburgh. And you never know. Nobody expected a rookie like Patrick Roy to lead his Montreal squad to the Cup either.

Tuukka Rask (Boston Bruins) – When’s the last time you remember a reigning Vezina Trophy winner benched in favor of a 23-year-old rookie netminder. Tuuka Rask is legit. Considering Boston’s injury problems and inconsistent play for much of the regular season, the B’s had no business playing more than a couple of home games in the second season to pay some bills. Now they have everyone’s attention after sending Ryan Miller and the Sabres packing. Outside of his tremendous athleticism, one of the best things about Rask is that the kid can put bad goals behind him like last night’s cougar pick-up.

Jimmy Howard (Detroit Red Wings) – Good for Jimmy Howard for making the most of his ice time this season. This rookie wasn’t supposed to take over the reins from Chris Osgood full time until at next year, but played well enough to be nominated for the Calder Trophy and forced the Detroit brass to give him a shot. He’s fundamentally sound and has a solid (and finally healthy) support staff around him. He smart enough to make sure he doesn’t try to do too much either. He doesn’t necessarily steal games for the Red Wings, but then again, he doesn’t normally have to.

One of the worst things for a hockey club is when it has no idea what to expect from the guy who’s manning the cage. It creates hesitation and uncertainty from the back to the front and can sink a team in high-pressure situations. Think twice before hitching your hockey wagering cart behind one of these question marks.

Brian Boucher (Philadelphia Flyers) – A .940 save percentage and 1.59 goals-against average in the first round doesn’t impress me much. We’ve seen this from Brian Boucher before – a few impressive wins and some big saves when the game is on the line. But the guy’s a ticking time bomb. Luckily for him, Philly was hitting its stride just as the regular season ended and the club was able to ride that wave through the first round. This long layoff isn’t going to help Boucher though. He’s the kind of goalie that feeds off momentum. The Flyers will have to spend a lot of time in the offensive zone for the first few games of the series and stay out of the penalty box or they might end up down a couple of games before they know it.

Evgeni Nabokov (San Jose Sharks) – Nabokov’s numbers are great so far: 1.76 GAA, .926 save percentage. He also has a ton of experience and nobody ever expected he’d become such an established goaltender after San Jose drafted him in the ninth round of the 1994 entry draft. He has defied the odds as an undersized and unconventional goalie over the years … still, everybody expects more from him and this uber-talented Sharks team. Is this the year he takes them on a long ride? He isn’t getting any younger and only faced about 23 shots per game against Colorado. We’ll see if he’s up to the challenge against Detroit.

Anttei Niemi (Chicago Blackhawks) – Niemi’s apparently a pretty loose guy, easy to get along with and able to shrug off mistakes. And he’s had his fair share of ugly shots find their way behind him, so it’s good he has a short memory. The real issue with these bad goals is Chicago’s youth. The Blackhawks are skilled enough to put up some great numbers, but haven’t gone through the hard knocks that build championship teams. Niemi can shut the doors one night and then leave it wide open with the lights still on the next. Tread carefully with this youngster.

 

[ugk]

ICE PICKS

Saturday's Best NHL Bets

Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins (-150, 5)

An unlikely second round matchup sees the sixth-seeded Bruins playing the seventh-seeded Flyers, but the big story is all about who will and who won’t be suiting up.
The Bruins welcome back Marc Savard, their best playmaker and leading scorer for three straight years before a concussion slowed him at the end of season.
The Flyers, on the other hand, saw their second line evaporate after forwards Jeff Carter and Simon Gagne went down with injuries. Philadelphia will have to give more ice time to less skilled players, which means the Flyers will be looking to hit the Bruins early and often.
"It was a key factor in the Jersey series that we were hard on all their skilled guys," Flyer forward Dan Carcillo told the Philadelphia Inquirer. "This is going to be no different. . . . It's probably not going to be the prettiest hockey, but it should be fun to watch."
Well said.

Pick: Under


Vancouver Canucks at Chicago Blackhawks (-145, 5.5)

Oddsmakers couldn’t set totals low enough for the Canucks when Roberto Luongo first arrived in Vancouver. The Canucks had little fire power and Luongo was playing like the best goalie in the world.
That was then and this is now. The Canucks’ attack is among the most potent in the league. Led by Swedish stars Mikael Samuelsson and Daniel and Henrik Sedin, coach Alain Vigneault has the scoring depth to compete with Chicago’s young guns.
But will Vigneault get the advantage in nets? The Blackhawks scored 23 goals in their six-game playoff series against the Canucks last year and they put six past Luongo in the last meeting of the regular season.
Vancouver has faith in its netminder but the club also wants to give him lots of goal support. The Vancouver Province reports that the Canucks think Chicago goalie Anti Niemi has a tendency to go down early, much like Kings goalie Jonathan Quick, whom the Canucks lit up for 17 goals in their last three games.

Pick: Over

 

[goldencontender]

Saturday MLB Play-GC

Sport: MLB
Game: Brewers at Padres. BIG SATURDAY BASES. HOOPS + DERBY UP NOW!
Date/Time: 5/1/2010 8:35PM EST
Pick: Brewers
Reason: On Saturday the Bonus Play is on the Milwaukee Brewers. Game 913 at 8:35 eastern. The Brewers look to rebound off a pair of losses to the Padres with perhaps their best pitcher tonight. Y.Gallardo makes the start tonight and he has a solid 1.68 road era and has bee dominant in his last 3 starts with a 1.06 era. Tonight he opposes Mr. Latos for the Padres. Latos has struggled of late with a 6.25 era. The Brewers were hitting over .300 on the road heading into Friday and should get game 3 of this series here tonight.. For the Bonus Play take the Brewers. BOL GC

 

[ugk]

BEN BURNS
BLUE CHIP O/U ROUT
10* Athletics/Blue Jays UNDER

 

[ugk]

PAPAYAGANG PICKS
20* Detroit Tigers ML
20* Tampa Bay Rays RL
20* Boston Red Sox ML
20* Philadelphia Phillies RL

 

[99steak]

Bettingresource
2-0 +16.1 Units yesterday.
32-19-2 (62.75%) +104.46 Units so far.
Posted/monitored in the tracker forum http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=766847

For today they have:

May 1: MLB: Washington - Florida
Pitchers: List Volstad & Statemann
Pick: Over 9.5 Odd: 1.94
Risked: 7 units Return:

May 1: MLB: NY Mets - Philadelphia
Pitchers: List Pelfrey & Halladay
Pick: NY Mets win Odd: 2.95
Risked: 4 units Return:

May 1: MLB: Boston - Baltimore
Pitchers: List Matsuzaka & Bergessen
Pick: Baltimore win Odd: 2.50
Risked: 4 units Return:

May 1: NHL: Philadelphia - Boston
Pick: Ot included: Philadelphia win Odd: 2.40
Risked: 5 units Return:

THEY USE 1 TO 10 UNIT SCALE FOR THEIR PICKS.

 

[fly73]

Sampicks 5/01
England - Premier League - 15:00 GMT
MANCHESTER CITY - ASTON VILLA take MAN CITY to win
Best odds: 1,91

 

[fly73]

01.05.2010.
Grad betting

Country: Russia,
Terek - Lok. Moskwa:Win bet Lok. Moskwa@1,91

Country:Croatia
Karlovac v HNK Sibenik:Win bet Karlovac@1,85

 

[fly73]

SOCCER - Service Plays of the day
super pogodak saturday 1 may

hamburger-nurnberg
bet on hamburger @1.85

protipster 1 may

Primera Villarreal - Barcelona Barcelona
Bundesliga Bayern - Bochum Bayern -2
Premier League Tottenham - Bolton Tottenham -1,-1.5
Liga 1 Unirea Alba Iulia - Steaua Bucharest Unirea +1


RW Sports (for may 1st)
win/loss: 8-6-1, net profit: +3.02 units, yield: 19%

english premier:
birmingham - burnley, birmingham, 1 unit, 1.59 @ pinnacle
birmingham - burnley, under 2.5 goals, 1 unit, 1.99 @ pinnacle

 

[fly73]

SOCCER:01.05.2010.


"Bulgarian Paid service"

Manchester City - Aston Villa:Bet on Manchester City @1,85

Grimsby - Barnet:Bet on Grimsby @2,00

Real Sociedad - Vallecano :Bet on Sociedad @1,9

Las Palmas - Betis:Bet on Betis @2,40

MK Dons v Brighton pik over 2.5

Moss FK-Lyn Oslo :Bet on Moss@ 1.85

Gr.Morton-Ayr Utd :Bet on Gr.Morton @ 2.15

 

[fly73]

BS picks 5/1 w/ Double Dime
Philies RL -115 Tigers ML -115 Cardinals RL +115 Double Dimer Rays RL -125

Gl whatever u do with them

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo 'doggin' it

Hondo knocked a small chunk off the deficit last night when he split with the Indians and Royals to lower the number to 65 pateks.

Today, he's running with the big 'dogs -- 10 units apiece on the Mets, Royals and Astros. Also, he'll put a unit on Jackson Bend to win the Derby.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Hawks (-2) last night.

Today it's the Cavaliers and Sidney's Candy ($50 to win) in the Derby.

The deficit is 650 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 847-365 (.699)
ATS: 647-601 (.518)
ATS Vary Units: 1533-1450 (.514)
Over/Under: 617-640 (.491)
Over/Under Vary Units: 807-841 (.490)

Eastern Conference Playoffs, Semifinals
Game 1, best-of-7 series
CLEVELAND 100, Boston 94

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI NHL

Season: 436-294 (.597)

Eastern Conference Playoffs, Semifinals
Game 1, best-of-7 series
Boston vs. PHILADELPHIA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Western Conference Playoffs, Semifinals
Game 1, best-of-7 series
CHICAGO 4, Vancouver 3